14 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1531
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rulc
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1522
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (104)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.