14 Aug · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AO
🇺🇦Andrii Obishchenko
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Obishchenko
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1538
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Obishchenko stays under total as favourite 73% (26)
Fair odds · Obishchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.