14 Aug · 07:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1652
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dobias
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1548
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rochowanski🌟Rochowanski covers set handicap as underdog 75% (32)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)