14 Aug · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1372
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1473
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 74% (62)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~70 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H61-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-52)