14 Aug · 11:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1460
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dunas
MD
🇺🇦Mykhailo Dunas
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dunas
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.