15 Aug · 23:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Valentyn Lobas
ELO 1600
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lobas
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1518
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Lobas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)