15 Aug · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1365
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ponomarenko
SK
🇺🇦Stanislav Kuzko
ELO 1208
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 66% (47)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H21-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-1)