15 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1425
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nikolenko
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1355
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Nikolenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H23-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-0)