15 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanka
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1508
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juppa🌟Kanka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (37)
Fair odds · Kanka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H18-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.