15 Aug · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1425
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fokin
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H15-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)