15 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1426
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pyrtyk
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1355
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)