15 Aug · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇺🇦Josef Chalupa
ELO 1632
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Chalupa
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Svoboda covers set handicap as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)