15 Aug · 07:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1334
FormLWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Fokin
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
33%
67%
🌟Martynenko rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (33)
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)