15 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1491
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Haiseniuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1500
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 66% (90)
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H18-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.