15 Aug · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1567
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrykh
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1524
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opryshchenko🌟Opryshchenko covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)