15 Aug · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1365
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ponomarenko
KT
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Tsoi
ELO 1272
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 66% (47)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)