15 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1334
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1350
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Martynenko rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (33)
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.