15 Aug · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Mykhailenko
ELO 1227
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkalich
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1326
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
🌟Tkalich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Tkalich
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)