15 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fastov
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1411
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.