16 Aug · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1562
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovalchuk
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (115)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H19-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)