16 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1563
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1564
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Tymofeev stays under total as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.