16 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1594
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kvak
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1513
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
🌟Kvak stays under total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Kvak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)