16 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1477
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hanke
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1542
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Taranko
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)