16 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1405
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kalenyk
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1405
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Kalenyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (146)
Fair odds · Kalenyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.