16 Aug · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1557
FormWWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Zhurba
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1729
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Zhurba stays under total as favourite 62% (106)
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)