16 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1450
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vlasenko
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1438
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Hura covers set handicap as underdog 62% (88)
Fair odds · Vlasenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H45-78
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.