16 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1581
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chalupa
JC
🇺🇦Josef Chalupa
ELO 1650
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)