16 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1438
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shmyndra
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1505
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hura🌟Shmyndra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (46)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)