16 Aug · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1425
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1455
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 72% (32)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.