16 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1594
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kvak
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1594
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Kvak stays under total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Kvak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.