16 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1436
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mukhin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1394
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)