16 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1633
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kryshtal
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
🌟Bului rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (56)
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)