16 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1526
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slozka
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1513
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Slozka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (45)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.