16 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1634
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Shyndel
IS
🇺🇦Igor Shyndel
ELO 1668
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.