16 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1449
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stopin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1394
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)