17 Aug · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1686
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Alieksieev
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1514
FormLWWLL
68%
32%
🌟Alieksieev stays under total as favourite 66% (64)
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)