17 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Martin Skyba
ELO 1580
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skyba
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bruk
ELO 1535
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bruk🌟Skyba rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Skyba
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)