17 Aug · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasian
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 72% (60)
Fair odds · Kasian
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.