17 Aug · 11:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.