17 Aug · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1562
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rodin
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1533
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 68% (117)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.