17 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1446
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1511
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (98)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)