17 Aug · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1287
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Urezchenko
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1223
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Yarovyi covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)