17 Aug · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1498
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stetsenko
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1474
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (90)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.