17 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1511
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Mejzlik covers set handicap as underdog 72% (65)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)