17 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1479
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H17-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.