17 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volkov
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1594
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Volkov stays under total as favourite 62% (140)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H86-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-54)