17 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1287
FormWLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Zavoloka
MZ
🇺🇦Mykola Zavoloka
ELO 1496
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Zavoloka
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)