17 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rochowanski
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1537
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rochowanski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.