17 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mejzlik
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seeman🌟Seeman covers set handicap as underdog 72% (54)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.