17 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rochowanski
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1503
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Rochowanski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.